There is a philosophical concept called “Occam’s Razor.” You can google it to learn all the details, but the concept is this:
When there is more than one explanation for an occurrence, the simplest of the explanations is the most likely.
Put another way, if I come home and find a box of cereal on the floor of the kitchen with the box and bag all torn apart and the cereal gone; it is possible that a wild fox broke into my house and consumed the cereal. Occam’s Razor says it is far more likely my dog went into the pantry, pulled the box from a low shelf and did the damage herself. […]